Dr. Kissinger and the Jihad
His analysis is a sweeping one but hinges on the supposed threat of radical Islam to the
He seems to think that because of radical Islam, national governments risk being replaced by some form of fundamentalist Arab-Iranian unification. However the "Arab Nation" has been pursuing union since 1919, and today is farther from it than ever, and al Qaeda can't even unite Iraq, which is itself newly splintered, thanks to the U.S. intervention. And the Shia-Sunni division remains.
He also sees jihadism as a menace to the "security and well-being of the industrial states," since the radical Islamic ambition is to create "a universal political organization," and its influence reaches wherever "significant populations profess the Muslim faith."
Radical Islam might wish to establish a "universal" organization, but what possible chance does it have of actually doing so? None of the non-Moslem states in which Moslems are a significant minority has any desire to have the Moslems take over. All or nearly all have large non-Moslem police and security forces, armies, etc. What does Dr. Kissinger have in mind?
He has always had a predilection for dramatic warnings of geopolitical menace, which get the attention of Congress and White House. This article happened to be published internationally on the same day as a New York Times report that the predicted terrorist threat to
The French domestic security service, the DST, in 2004 passed to the Times an analysis saying that young European Moslems who went abroad to fight in
Similar warnings were current in other countries, and certainly in the
Such terrorist crimes as have been committed in
It seems that young European Moslems have not been rushing to join the fight abroad. First, it takes serious money to get there. Second, the young volunteers usually don't have contacts there, don't have military training, and don't speak the local languages. They are useless to the professionals unless they want to volunteer as suicide-bombers. Moreover, European police work is good and most of those talking to their pals about joining the jihad are arrested before they leave home. Finally, their families and their communities don't approve.
The American neo-conservatives have convinced themselves that the jihad is a global threat that will conquer the Middle East by overturning the existing states there and then attack
With respect to countering the supposed Moslem threat, Dr. Kissinger talks mainly about military intervention. He believes that if the
It would not seem too much of an exaggeration to compare Dr. Kissinger's view with that of a 16th century counselor to the Turkish Sultan urging that the Empire's janissaries be sent into
If Kissinger really thinks al Qaeda and the Islamic fundamentalist movement are so powerful that they ultimately can overturn the established global nation-state system, as he says, surely keeping a weary U.S. Army in
There is a major upheaval of cultural identity and religion in the
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